EURUSD +1,687 Pips

Screen shot 2013-10-24 at 11.06.09 AM

Entering a trade inside a kumo, betting that the cloud won’t break. This is what I think while I opened the trade in EURUSD. It has proven to be an effective strategy. As you know, a flat line in a kumo cloud means a strong resistance. While I also drew my own resistance lines, Ichimoku confirmed that it indeed has a high probability that it will not break. So I bet more. The resistance at 1.3500 is a dead giveaway for me. Look at the candlesticks lining up in a straight line. :) That’s another opportunity to add more position from the profit I had on the first to trades near 1.33 and 1.32.

Total pips gained so far +1,687

Screen shot 2013-10-24 at 11.05.56 AMHappy trading.

 

Week 2: Forex Analysis Sept 12 to 16 and a New Toy

The past week has been a very good week. Did we make money? Hell yeah. I got the chance to ride the market movement of more than 800 pips on the EURCHF. And right on the spot, predicted its movement a week prior from the forex analysis week 1 post.


800 pips

My New Toy! iPad 2

That trade, riding its uber tall movement gave me the chance to reward myself with a new toy.

I bought an iPad 2 for myself to reward myself of a job well done. I haven’t got it yet and I’m still waiting for it to be delivered. I will post some pics when it arrive.

I tend to trade well watching tv and I made all the profits while lying in the couch trading in my mobile phone. But mobile trading made my eyes hurt because of very small letters. So I thought I would buy an iPad for a better mobile / flexible trading and at the same time, I can read books without having to clutter my desk with books I already finished reading.

Forex Analysis

EURUSD

It moved quite dramatically downtrend for daily. You may take profits now if you want to be on the safe side for daily trades, because it might pullback to test the resistance. We could see another downtrend for another week. It’s definitely a downtrend on monthly.

Get into downtrend trades. Its a good opportunity to go short.

EURJPY

Its a breakout downtrend on daily. Breakout downtrend on weekly. Still a downtrend on monthly.

Go short trades because its telling a very strong downtrend.

AUDUSD

Downtrend on daily for breaking the strong support at 1.05034. It is a good indication of an incoming downtrend on weekly. Monthly is still unsure. Might be a pullback.

Go SHORT. Its is downtrend for daily and weekly. But be careful holding the position for too long.

EURCHF

Seems like there is a resistance on 1.21822 and it can’t go on further. It might also be a sign for a pullback because the market have moved quite dramatically on daily. On weekly, it is now an uptrend. We are still not sure if it will pullback or not. Just be careful. Monthly is definitely an uptrend.

I would go long for the long term on EURCHF. Since monthly signal is telling us a great uptrend coming. But be careful going long on daily or weekly as we still don’t know if there will be a pullback or not. Enter at your own risk.

USDCHF

There is a breakout on daily. Even if EURCHF is directly proportional with USDCHF, this currency pair instead of pulling back, remained to go strong. There might be a window of opportunity here. Daily is in an uptrend. Weekly is definitely an uptrend. Monthly is uptrend.

I would go for uptrend trades on this currency.

Disclaimer

This trading journal is meant to be for educational purposes only. Please do not take these as trade recommendations and I am not responsible if ever you lose money in the forex market.

I Suck At Writing, Insurance and Girls

I just realized that I really suck at writing. It is hard work for me to write the forex trading courses. I wish I could have made it more enjoyable. That is why I’m ordering some books right now about writing. I really want to share the love of forex trading and I think that my inability to express that love into writing would only limit my reach to more people.

Actually, I’m buying books because a girl rejected me. This fine woman, a manager from a popular coffee chain, I dated for a while just called it quits. She doesn’t know I have a blog so I guess that’s ok venting it out here. I’m buying books so I can forget about the whole thing. I feel devastated…

On the other hand, there seems to be a lot of insurance salesmen. A guy already phoned me selling insurance. He might have thought that I will commit suicide after being heart broken.

This post is not related in anyway with forex trading. But a screenshot of my trade looks just fine. It looks like a blood dripping right? Kinda explain how I feel.

Forex Trading Reward: Macbook

I bought a new computer from the profits I made on this trade. The reason behind that is because I’ve been traveling a lot lately. And my phone just won’t cut it at times. I can’t look at the charts in detail. And also, I’ve been eyeing this laptop for a long time and thought of having it as a reward once I made a good trade.

I took some of the money and bought this laptop and all the remaining gets reinvested. Its a great laptop. I love it!

Lesson Learned

Though I made profits from the last trade. I wasn’t quite happy. Because I was betting really big in a business of probabilities. And I know that in time, the probabilities might hit me. I will try to lessen the risk now and be content with making money consistently in a safer way than to bet big and hard and have big returns but have big drawdowns.

What’s your reward for yourself this coming christmas?

Week 21: Euro Crisis Over? Or Is It The Calm Before The Storm?

Well, the long down trend that started last year gave us a decent profits on the way down to the last four trades that was written in my previous post. The whole euro crisis did give us some handsome profits. And the question comes to mind… Is it over? Or is it a temporary retracement?

If you ask me, I don’t know… I have long turned my back to predicting the market. And now focused my energy into betting into sure trends. Like the previous euro down trend. My hunch is, the euro crisis is not over. And I’m guessing this is just a short term retracement. What we need to watch out for is its continuation on the down side. But it might take a few more weeks before it shows a good enough sign.

1.3100 is a very strong resistance. Let’s see if it holds.

Meanwhile, I was reading a lot of books and there’s a particular book that got my attention. Its “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator“. There’s a lot of wisdom in this book that every trader should know. The story is very interesting as well, because its based on a true story for the most part.

What Makes Forex Trading Different?

If you’ve been following my forex forecast and decided to take the trade with me, we are now at a +120pip profit at the time of this writing. Pretty good profit margin. But it is not what we’re going to talk about today.

While I was lying in bed last night. I thought to myself. All indicators and all strategies are there on the internet, in books and in mentors. Why is it that there are only few people who are successful in forex trading. In the Philippines, I have not seen or met someone who is successful enough to get media attention. Is it really with the strategies or indicators that will make a forex trader successful?

While I was reading a book about different kinds of forex traders. I noticed that most of them are doctors, retired military men or athletes. People who are tough mentally or knows psychology. Maybe the thing about forex trading is its all in the mind more than it is with the indicators.

Also, nobody knows what will be the future of the charts or when a trend will begin or end. Nobody really knows when a reversal will occur or a support and resistance will break or bounce. Nobody really knows. We only have indicators to tell us options of what may happen its still us that have to decide and take risks.

So, the bottom line is… Its about risks. Risk management and money management. You only have to have a decent strategy that you’re confident about and apply money management principle to it.

Take risks. We know from the start that forex trading is risky. Before we even know how the market moves. We know that forex is risky. So we have to be prepared to take risks. That aside, manage the risk with money management.

These are my thoughts about forex trading. You may voice out your opinion in the comments section below.

New Milestone in Personal Forex Trading

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Today is a great day for me. Today marks the day where I completely eliminated all the losses that I have incurred while learning about forex.

When I started a year ago, I tried to trade forex live. After practicing for a couple of months, demo trading, I gather up all the courage I could get and opened my first live account. During the course of the year, I accumulated a total of -$5,000. Yes… Negative… And today, I completely finally took back all the losses.

I am up +$1,063 starting today. I hope this is the beginning of a wonderful trading life. And hopefully achieve my forex trading goal.

After all that grueling experience. I would like to share to you a little knowledge I picked up while stumbling across the trading realm. There are only 3 important factors to be successful at trading.

1. Psychology
2. Money Management
3. Exit

Notice that there are no trading strategy here or indicators. Not even entry strategy. It is because those 3 factors are what determines a successful trade. Because of them, my trade has been really good so far.

AUDUSD Pinbar Reversal

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I am using technical analysis when I am trading forex. Mainly candlesticks and moving averages. And yesterday, a beautiful pinbar reversal signal formed at AUDUSD. Looking to go Long on this one.

For the aggressive trader, this is a good chance to go LONG. But for the more conservative type, you might want to wait for the next bar to close before entering your position. You want to confirm that the next bar is bullish to be on the safe side.

Week 16: 7% Gain, Venturing into Stocks

I made 7% gain last week and this week, I got my stock broker account approved. I’m trying to diversify my assets into different vehicles. But forex will be my no.1 go to guy for risk – reward.

Also trying to change my strategy a little bit. I figured I need to have a strategy that gives me most of my time and day trading is a no no for me. I’ve been trading the hourly chart this past few months and it can be stressful at times. I’m moving into daily and hopefully weekly. So there will be less updates on this blog because I’m moving to a longer time frame.