Welcome to Forex Philippines

This is forex philippines. I’ll be blogging about my forex trading experience on this site. I’m still new at trading with forex and still use demo account to practice how to trade. So you can expect many many mess up and success tradings here. And also some thoughts about a particular trade. I’ll also be putting some things that I learn. Things I stumble on the internet and things learned from forex trading experts.

About me, you can call me Jeff I’m 25 years old (as of this writing) and I’m a businessman. I’m trying to learn forex to have more diversification.

If you have any questions do not hesitate to ask. We are all here to learn and succeed in forex trading.

UPDATE: I am now trading live since 2011.

Waiting For More Price Action Before Entering the Forex Trade

We have some good news and bad news. The bad news is, our analysis did not reach our expected top. And a sudden reversal happened in EURUSD daily. We don’t need to be worried though as it is a retracement testing the support. If support holds, it may continue its upward trend for one last time to hit our top. The good news is, this is not the big trend that we are waiting for and so, we can rest assure that we are not being left by the trend yet.

I’m still waiting for the top to go short. There’s also another option to go long on the bottom.

Free Forex Trading Course

As you might have noticed, I removed the forum and replaced it with something better. Forex Philippines is now offering free forex trading courses, brought to you by yours truly. Its a course with a personal touch. Its a course that gives more of an insight on how I managed to get started on trading forex. Lessons 1 and 2 are out now so be sure to check the site out for more lessons to come.

I want to touch more lives by teaching what I learned in forex so I made an online book. Please support and share the page or comment if you have any questions. Your comments keeps me motivated. And all this for free! Or if you feel like treating me for a coffee, that’s fine as well.

Forex Trading as Hedging Strategy

Forex trading is one of those instruments that are very flexible on what you want to do with it. It can be a wealth accumulator, a protection or a hedge. Hedging is a strategy by investors in which they “bet” on a currency in which they think will do good, while being invested in other things that will go bad.

Let me give you an example, Oil companies consistently hedge their oil. Since they buy a lot of oil as inventory, a lot of oil, not bought in the market will result in losses as time goes by. Because of regulation, unpredictability of the market and such.. So what these company does, is “hedge” oil, which means, they take a “SELL” position on the market, such that, either way the market goes, they never lose money. They may lose money on the physical oil inventory, but they will gain money from the SHORT positions in the market.

Forex Trading as Hedging for Stocks

I will give you a personal example. Lately, I have been investing in stocks. Not just local, but also international. And the War in the middle east has been on the news lately. Its not just news, but they actually affect the economies of countries affected by the war. That includes the US. Since I am invested in the US. What can I do to protect myself from this unpredictability? So I hedge the EURUSD. I know that allowing refugees inside Europe is a bad decision. So I bet SHORT on that currency pair… And, months later, proved to be right. As seen in my position for the pair. eurusd-isisSo now I’m in a very good position currently at 803 pips in profit.. If the companies I hold in the US are affected by the instability of EUROPE, then I will still make money from my forex trading because its a hedge from my US investments.

Philippine Stocks Hedging Dollars

I also started investing in Philippine stocks. But we all know that the current president is not that business savvy. Before he sat on the presidential seat I already thought of him as a man of the people than a business/economic president. And will do anything to prioritise the people than businesses. Which means, comes a time, it might NOT be good for the stocks I hold. Or it could be that the PSE stocks is just that overhyped. But what ever the reason is, I am afraid of it going down. In which it is currently happening.

Philippine stocks is at a downward fall.

Philippine stocks is at a downward fall.

Knowing that, I immediately went to my bank and exchanged my PESO to DOLLAR, just before the new President elect take office. That was the hedge. Since I fear that the stocks would drop, the hedge would be — buying dollars hoping that $ would do better than Peso. And months later, I am again proved to be right. I bought dollars at P45.00 and it is now currently trading at P49.92. A 500 pip profit as of this moment.

While USDPHP is going up.

While USDPHP is going up.

This is not about telling you people that I am right all the time. This blog has been a journal from the beginning. And this is just my way of explaining to you how you can make use of forex trading as a protection of your money. Remember that rule #1 is to not lose money..

So when you start making money out of your forex trading, you should also think about protecting what you have gained. And that is where hedging comes in.

Total Earnings in PIPS 800 + 500 = 1,300 pips

I hope you learned something of value from this post. If you want a primer on how to trade forex, you can read this page for a short course on forex trading.

Or if you’re looking for a reliable broker, visit the forex brokers page or try out brokers that accepts paypal.

Knowing How Long is The Trading Trend

Ahhh… After playing with different timeframes. I pretty much got the idea at what timeframe I’m comfortable with. The idea is this, it should match your personality. If you’re a full time forex trader who don’t want to miss every good trade that may come by, be a day trader that trades smaller timeframes (5 minute charts to 1 hr ). If you’re a more long term and just wants to take a time off after placing a trade consider becoming a swing trader (days to weeks).

I say this because I kinda mess up the timing of entry and exit. I hold positions longer even though im in the 5 minute chart, resulting in losses. I tend to close position on a winning trade too early on a longer chart (days) and the result, I don’t earn much money as I have to.

So knowing the right mix would give you the idea how long should you hold trades.

Jun 29 2011 – Trading with Reversal Pinbar

As you all know. The way I trade currency is using technical analysis. I know that there are many people out there that has been using fundamental analysis to decide on their trade. And this is what works for me and allow me to share some bit of information about technical analysis that might help you improve your trading.

Please see the image below.

I would like to introduce you to a reversal pinbar called engulfing pattern. It is a bar that “Engulfs” the previous bar indicating the end of the trend.

As you can see, I took the trade once I saw the engulfing bar pattern and placed my stop loss above the previous high.

Week 19: Money Management as Investing, Forex Trading as Professional Gambling

Taking advantage of the EURO Zone Debt Crisis.

Do you know what makes great professional poker players great? Its their money management. The reason why there are few great poker players and a lot of people just gambling using luck is because great poker players know how to use money management.

They know the probabilities of each card they are dealt. They don’t try to push their luck even with a bad card hoping that their competition has worse. In forex trading, try to make wait for the right moment to open position, rather than trying your luck just because you want to open a position. The downfall of most forex traders is that they tend to over trade. They want to open a position just for the sake of opening a position. This is detrimental to a good trading strategy, whatever the strategy is.

Money management, i believe, is the best part and makes the most part of a forex trading strategy. Systems for entry and exit like fibonacci, technical analysis and whatnot are just the small portion. A poker player does the same thing, to survive the table, he must manage the money if there comes a time when he suffers consistent losses. Trading is the same way, you must survive consistent losses until the next big trend comes where you can make back your losses and then some.

Forex Trading Charts

When you think about forex trading and charts, what comes to mind is that, what ever time charts you are in the principles are still the same. A 1 minute chart will be the same as the daily chart. What I found out last week while I try to trade intraday chart is that. It’s not always the case.

I trade successfully on daily charts and I love the freedom it brings because sometimes, I don’t have to trade everyday and I get to do something else. While I wait for the next candle stick, it will take another day. That is why when I tried trading on smaller time frames. I never got any profit.

I don’t know. Maybe its just me. I still follow my rules but the fact that intraday trading is a whole new beast than the other charts. I realize that if I really want to be successful in this. I need to master one chart at a time.

Many books claiming that their method are great on any charts. I don’t know. Maybe just my strategy is not that good. That is why I bought some books for reading. I’ll post some of the things I learned and tested once I finished reading the book.

Managing Risks and Currency Hedging

I realized that you can really minimize the risk in trading. To do that, you want to open your position on currency pairs that are correlated. If I want to open a position on EURUSD, you may realize after a while that you might be wrong, an attitude that is always good to have.

Having said that, you may want to look at the correlation table below.

As of September 2011

If you want to manage risk for the EURUSD trade. You may want to open a position on AUDUSD and other correlated pairs.

Hedging and Managing Risk

Lets say you go SHORT EURUSD, to hedge that risk you need to go:

  • LONG AUDUSD
  • LONG EURGBP
  • LONG GBPUSD
  • SHORT USDCAD
  • SHORT USDJPY
  • SHORT GOLD

if LONG EURUSD

  • SHORT AUDUSD
  • SHORT EURGBP
  • SHORT GBPUSD
  • LONG USDCAD
  • LONG USDJPY
  • LONG GOLD

Doing this strategy may give you lesser risk because once EURUSD may go downtrend other currency may go uptrend thus minimizing the risk. But it also minimizes the reward. If you want to be a daredevil and amped up your profits, you may use the one below.

Doubling the Risk & Reward

Your position SHORT EURUSD, to double the risk you need to go:

  • SHORT AUDUSD
  • SHORT EURGBP
  • SHORT GBPUSD
  • LONG USDCAD
  • LONG USDJPY
  • LONG GOLD

if LONG EURUSD

  • LONG AUDUSD
  • LONG EURGBP
  • LONG GBPUSD
  • SHORT USDCAD
  • SHORT USDJPY
  • SHORT GOLD

Knowing what currency relates to one another gives you the advantage to play your cards well in case you are not sure.

Week 22: I Have Never Been More Determined Ever

This days passed. I lost quite a bit this week because of some positive news about the Eurozone and news about the USD and all good news. I was short on EUR USD and it hit me with a loss. But I’m still in this game. And will probably for a long time. This week has been so emotional for me. Not because I lost and I’m down emotionally, but because I have never felt so determined like it feels like a burning passion inside.

This is the exact same feeling that I felt before. Its a burning passion to change. To get the things that I want, and to do whatever it takes to get it. Seeing things that I want and know that there’s no chance to get it until I change myself, my attitudes or habits, makes me mad in a good way. Makes me crave for change. Makes me risk. Makes me live life.

I know you would probably not understand what I’m talking right now. But for those of you who have done something in their life at a roll of a dice and risk everything just for that one moment, I know you understand. Its a great feeling to risk something and be rewarded. Its a great feeling to pursue something, no matter how impossible it may seem, and just enjoy the journey. Because at this point, I’m living life.

Simply put, I think I have found my purpose and real goal for the next 10 years. And I thank Forex Trading for making me realize all that.