Week 21: Euro Crisis Over? Or Is It The Calm Before The Storm?

Well, the long down trend that started last year gave us a decent profits on the way down to the last four trades that was written in my previous post. The whole euro crisis did give us some handsome profits. And the question comes to mind… Is it over? Or is it a temporary retracement?

If you ask me, I don’t know… I have long turned my back to predicting the market. And now focused my energy into betting into sure trends. Like the previous euro down trend. My hunch is, the euro crisis is not over. And I’m guessing this is just a short term retracement. What we need to watch out for is its continuation on the down side. But it might take a few more weeks before it shows a good enough sign.

1.3100 is a very strong resistance. Let’s see if it holds.

Meanwhile, I was reading a lot of books and there’s a particular book that got my attention. Its “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator“. There’s a lot of wisdom in this book that every trader should know. The story is very interesting as well, because its based on a true story for the most part.

Week 19: Money Management as Investing, Forex Trading as Professional Gambling

Taking advantage of the EURO Zone Debt Crisis.

Do you know what makes great professional poker players great? Its their money management. The reason why there are few great poker players and a lot of people just gambling using luck is because great poker players know how to use money management.

They know the probabilities of each card they are dealt. They don’t try to push their luck even with a bad card hoping that their competition has worse. In forex trading, try to make wait for the right moment to open position, rather than trying your luck just because you want to open a position. The downfall of most forex traders is that they tend to over trade. They want to open a position just for the sake of opening a position. This is detrimental to a good trading strategy, whatever the strategy is.

Money management, i believe, is the best part and makes the most part of a forex trading strategy. Systems for entry and exit like fibonacci, technical analysis and whatnot are just the small portion. A poker player does the same thing, to survive the table, he must manage the money if there comes a time when he suffers consistent losses. Trading is the same way, you must survive consistent losses until the next big trend comes where you can make back your losses and then some.

Week 18: The More Time You Have, The Wealthier You Are

I will not be day trading anymore. I’m focused on trading daily timeframe due to several reasons.

1. I Love Having a Lot of Free Time

As you all know, I love martial arts and this year, I would like to focus on my training. And to be able to train harder, you need a lot of time to practice. I also love to discover new things and not just make money. The thought of just building my nest so my money can work for me is very tempting. I plan to quit day trading forex and focus mainly on swing trading, that is, longer time frame. Which means, less updates on this blog as well.

2. Stress is not worth it

Being stressed out in day trading is just too taxing. I’d rather spend time discovering new things than spending a lot of time in the computer everyday.

3. Being Wealthy is Not Having Money, But Having Free Time

The good thing about swing trading forex is I can set my position, set my stop loss and set my proft target. Then, I’ll just check it a few minutes everyday to see if the market went against or for my direction. I can also add or reduce positions depending on my trades, in just a couple of minutes then I’m off to do something else.

Doing something else, means starting a new business that could possibly earn me more money. Staring at a chart doesn’t make it boil. I need to do something productive while waiting for the market to move. Attend some seminars, business training or start a new business. At the end of the day, the more time you have, the more things you can do and the more money you can earn because the free time becomes a productive pursuit in making more and more cash flow for you.

5 Things Before Your Start Trading

Before you start trading forex for full time, make sure that you have everything covered. Though, not all people are risk takers and will quit their day job on a whim (like me), you must be prepared on to a new journey of your life. You will look back and if you become successful at this, you’ll realize that its the best decision you’ve made in your life. There’s no better feeling than being your own boss and eating your own kill.

#1  – Money To Keep You Afloat

Save at least 8 months worth of your expenses. Compute all of your expenses per month and then set aside money to pay that expenses for 8 months. This should keep you out of worrying where to get the money to pay for your rent, electricity, water etc. should you take consistent lose on your trading.

#2 – Trading Capital

This is probably will come from a personal preference. But for starters, I’ll try to give a more concrete estimate on how much should your trading capital be. Forget about the trading system for now. Let’s say that your trading system (thru backtesting) produces consistent profits at the rate of 10% per month. And your monthly expenses is let’s say, P20,000 per month. How much funds do you need to produce P20,000 for 10%?

x = TARGET INCOME / % RETURN
x = 20,000 / 0.1
x = 200,000

The answer is P200,000. If you need P20,000 to live with 10% increase per month. You need P200,000 of initial funds. Whatever your target income per month, just use the formula above.

#3 – Money Management System

You also need, and probably the most important thing, to have a money management system. This is not merely how much money should you risk per trade. This is also, how much money should you risk again should you know you are right. And how much money should you take out if you’re right and how much money should you cut off if you’re wrong. There’s a lot of things going on in a money management system, please do a careful research first before trying to broke yourself in trading. Victory loves preparation.

There’s a lot of books in money management. But there’s only one that comes to mind.

Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom

#4 – Trading System

A trading system is a system that will tell you when you will enter and exit the trade. In searching for a system, give more emphasis to the exit strategy than the entry strategy. Why? Because it can either be the profit taking or the cutting of losses in which either case can affect your account and your mental state. Don’t get too hang up on trading strategy, just a simple trading strategy will do. The most important part in your trading is money management and trading psychology.

There’s a lot of books that teaches trading systems. But I guess its up to you on what you will choose. I’ll just refer you to a book about different successful traders of our time so you will know what trading strategies they are using and decide for yourself:

Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders

#5 – Trading Psychology

Emotions are the main enemy in trading. That’s why you should learn to control them. Read books about trading psychology to be aware if you’re acting on emotions or rational decisions. There are times when you will suffer consistent winners and consistent losing streaks. Having the mental toughness to overcome that will make you a great trader so never try to skip step and proceed trading without practice. If there is one book I would recommend for this topic, its:

Trading in the Zone