Week 24: Avoid the News in Forex Trading

I learned something. This is the thing I learned while learning stock investing. And I think it goes very well with trading in forex. I used to hear a lot of people saying this and I have never really understand the deeper meaning in it. Its about trading when there’s news.

A lot of traders have been saying that to never trade the news. And I have been a victim of greed over the past week. I try to anticipate news releases and have been wrong many times in doing so. I may have been right a couple of times, but results from news doesn’t last long enough to earn substantial profits.

I realized I was chasing something that I won’t be able to reach. And decided to trade only currency pairs that are not in the risk of news. I’ll let the news pass then I’ll return. Because of me, chasing the news, I realized I missed some great opportunities like in the currency pair NZD/USD. I was so caught up with EUR/USD, I missed the trend. It might not actually be a late time to enter but you get my point. Never trade the news. Go to currency pairs where there are no risk of news affecting it. Or in the words of stock investors, invest in obscure companies that are being ignored by professionals and traders.

I made money trading the USD/JPY on its way up. And got back to break even from the losses of EUR/USD hunting for the news. I’m still in good condition and still on my way to realizing my goal.

USD/JPY on Daily

USD/JPY could probably retrace now. Keep in mind though, if you’re going to take the short side, Bank of Japan have expressed their eagerness to intervene should the pair goes further down. Keep your stop losses tight. On a weekly note for this pair, its more of a sign to go long. I’ll try to catch the bottom of the retracement for the daily to enter. That position is less risky because you have BoJ on your side. The only problem now is the USD’s news affecting the currency.

Happy trading.

My Cardinal Rules in Forex Trading

The more I lose in forex trading, the more I learn. I learn more things from losing than from winning. And as time goes by, I learn to adjust my thinking and strategy and learn to have a fixed set of ideas about the market that I use to trade with. These set of ideas are based on rules to help you become more successful in trading. These rules have changed the way I trade for the better and I hope it change yours too.

#1 – Never Lose Money

Rule # 1 is the most basic. Never lose money. The more you trade, the more you lose. That is why, you need rule number 1 to be picky on trades that will only result in winning. Keep in mind this rule every time. Before entering, while in the trade and before exiting the trade. Never lose money. You’ll last longer and learn faster.

#2 – Think For Yourself

Learn a forex strategy then stick with it. You enter and exit by those rules defined only by you. What your peers or your guru tells you is irrelevant. If he tells you to enter the trade, you are not trading, but he is. You are now dependent on him when to exit. Will you ever know when that is? Will you ever sleep at night?

#3 – Use A Non-Negotiable Stop

Stop loss should be non negotiable. You do not use a stop then try to adjust it because it will be hit by the price then hoping that the price comes back. Stick to the plan. Have a defined amount of risk, accept that risk and don’t whine if it got hit. Man up, take the loss, move on to the next trade.

#4 – Let Your Profits Run

I used to have a take profit when trading. But I soon realized that it doesn’t make sense. Why would I settle with a fixed profit if the market is willing to give me more? Throwing your greed aside, putting your stop loss on break even, then letting the trade run is a 0% risk with greater profit potential. Its definitely better than a measly profit for small risk.

#5 – Define Your Risk and Forget About The Target

In any trading and investing books that I read, these lines always comes up “Cut your losses short and let your profits run”. Its a combination of #3 and #4. In my own words, this also means, never add to losing positions or adjusting your stop loss because you are “afraid” to take a hit and then defining your profit target instead of “risking” for a chance to earn more.

#6 – Take Note of Your Mistakes

Reflect on each losing trade. What made you lose it? Did you follow your plan? Is it you who messed up the trade because of greed and fear? Or is it some underlying factor that you might have missed like news? Whatever that is, always reflect if you are following your system and what is wrong or missing with your system so you can adjust and adapt to the ever changing market.

#7 – Victory Loves Preparation

Waiting for the perfect time to enter is what makes forex trading exciting. Its damn hard to sit still while you wait for the perfect time to make that order. And then wait some more for the trade to unfold itself. Trading is waiting game. Its a damn exciting game I must say and usually, the person who waits and “prepare” himself for the high probability trade would be the winner. Not being swayed by the crowd is the hallmark of a great trader.

I got burned a few times because I got in so early. And got frustrated when I got left out by the trend. Patience is a virtue they say, but in forex trading, patience is money.

Frequently Asked Questions in Forex Trading

I have been receiving a lot of emails lately from people who are interested to start forex trading. I apologize if I can’t reply with your emails, I’ll just post it here in return so people can see.

1. Recommended Websites to Learn Forex Trading

The only recommended website I could point you to in learning forex trading would be babypips.com. All the basics and intermediate materials that you need to know are there.

2. What are the Systems Used in Forex Trading?

There are quite a lot of systems in forex trading and I can’t explain all of them. The best way to use a system is to know yourself. If you are a risk taker and restless, try day trading forex using candle sticks. If you are a steady investor, try fundamental analysis using macroeconomics. If you are in between, try swing trading. I can not stress this enough, know yourself and then pick your poison.

3. Where to Get These Systems?

These systems range from robots to pure strategy. Where else can you find them? Bookstores. Go over to amazon and search forex trading systems and you’ll find yourselves a lot to choose from. Also, finish babypips.com for an introduction to different kinds of systems and pick one you think you like best.

4. Is there a Short Course in Forex in the Philippines?

For what I know, forex trading in the Philippines is at a very infant stage. Just look at our stock market, not even 10% of the population invest in it. So don’t expect much for short courses in forex. I believe there are some companies out there that does this and some gurus teaching the basics. But then again, that’s what babypips is for.

5. What is the best way to learn forex trading?

I think the best way to learn in ANYTHING is just go out there and do it. Demo trading can only get you so far. Without real money on the line you can not feel anything. Emotion is part of forex trading that you want to master, demo trading won’t do that and only a live account can.

Week 22: I Have Never Been More Determined Ever

This days passed. I lost quite a bit this week because of some positive news about the Eurozone and news about the USD and all good news. I was short on EUR USD and it hit me with a loss. But I’m still in this game. And will probably for a long time. This week has been so emotional for me. Not because I lost and I’m down emotionally, but because I have never felt so determined like it feels like a burning passion inside.

This is the exact same feeling that I felt before. Its a burning passion to change. To get the things that I want, and to do whatever it takes to get it. Seeing things that I want and know that there’s no chance to get it until I change myself, my attitudes or habits, makes me mad in a good way. Makes me crave for change. Makes me risk. Makes me live life.

I know you would probably not understand what I’m talking right now. But for those of you who have done something in their life at a roll of a dice and risk everything just for that one moment, I know you understand. Its a great feeling to risk something and be rewarded. Its a great feeling to pursue something, no matter how impossible it may seem, and just enjoy the journey. Because at this point, I’m living life.

Simply put, I think I have found my purpose and real goal for the next 10 years. And I thank Forex Trading for making me realize all that.